May26, 2017 (C) Ravinder Singh progressindia2015@gmail.com
ET reported very DREADFUL situation in Telecom sector.
GoI, TRAI & Banks Supporting MUKESH AMBANI in Price War.
BANKERS had forecast Revenue of TELCOs Which Now Include JIO of Mukesh Ambani could slip down to Rs.1,30,000 Cr for FY2018, (-) 33% from Q4 2014 level without JIO.
NON JIO TELCOs REVENUES DOWN TO HALF OF FY2014 BY MARCH 2018 IN SPITE OF HUGE EXPENDITURE.
Even as DEBT Of Telecom Sector DOUBLED Under NDA-II, Net Revenue reported for Q3 2017 is (-) 9.17%. Q4 2017 results as per research reports is (-) 20%.
AGR for Q4 2017 shall be much less than Q4 2014 – NEGATIVE.
There was rapid growth in Telecom AGR even when CAG made out imaginary LOSS FIGURES that finally led to Cancellations Of Licenses and Spectrum. Q4 AGR for 2010 was Rs.28,830 before CAG report and Rs.41,016 Cr Q4 for 2014 recording AGR of 42.27% in 4 years.
TELCOs REVENUE GROWTH 3 Yrs Comparison
UPA 30.33% Growth > NDA – Negative > (-) 33% FY2018
http://www.trai.gov.in/sites/default/files/Indicator_Report-Mar-11.pdf – http://www.trai.gov.in/sites/default/files/Indicator%20Report%20-%20Mar-12%20_final_.pdf
http://www.trai.gov.in/sites/default/files/Indicator%20Reports%20-01082013.pdf – http://www.trai.gov.in/sites/default/files/Indicator%20Reports%20-%20Mar-14.pdf – http://www.trai.gov.in/sites/default/files/Indicator-Reports-Mar12082015.pdf – http://www.trai.gov.in/sites/default/files/Indicator_Report_05_August_2016.pdf – http://www.trai.gov.in/sites/default/files/Indicator_Reports_Dec_16_07042017.pdf –
http://www.trai.gov.in/sites/default/files/finalperformanceindicatorReport9agust.pdf
Quarterly Adjusted Gross Revenue of Telecom Companies
Year |
Amount in Rs. Crores |
Annual Growth Rate % |
Quarterly Growth Rate % |
Q4 2011 |
31,471 |
9.16% |
5.16% |
Q4 2012 |
34,457 |
9.49% |
1.10% |
Q4 2013 |
35,279 |
2.39% |
2.18% |
Q4 2014 |
41,016 |
16.27% |
3.64% |
Q4 2015 |
45,158 |
10.1% |
3.60% |
Q4 2016 |
48,379 |
7.13% |
4.97% |
Q3 2017 |
45,905 |
(-) 4.68% |
(-) 9.17% |
PREDICTED |
33,333 |
(-) 25% |
Average |
Ravinder Singh, Inventor & Consultant, INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES AND PROJECTS
Y-77, Hauz Khas, ND -110016, India. Ph: 091- 9871056471, 9718280435, 9650421857
Ravinder Singh* is a WIPO awarded inventor specializing in Power, Transportation,
Smart Cities, Water, Energy Saving, Agriculture, Manufacturing, Technologies and Projects